Harold’s scheduling recalculation

Since we still don’t have an update beyond the 920s (which are beginning demo of courtyard tiles this week, and getting scaffolding starting next week of May 6), I did a back-calculation under the following assumptions:
1. There are 5 clusters to go after the 920s are done (mid-July).
2. There are 5 months until mid-December (liquidated damages–penalty for overruns–start shortly before).
3. Each cluster can expect to be under construction for 10 weeks (so the last cluster will have to start around Oct. 1 or sooner).
4. As the 900s finish up (by mid-June), the 930s will start.
Thus the starts of the 40s, 50s and 60s, if spread evenly over the interim, will begin in July, August and Sept., respectively.
So my prediction, if there aren’t major unexpected overruns (or speed-ups), is:
930s: June-mid Aug.
940s: July – mid Sept.
950s: Aug – mid Oct
960s: Sept – mid Nov
970s: Oct – mid Dec.

No guarantees of course, just my personal opinion, but something to plan by until we hear more from Stonemark. They, by the way, are hoping the pace can pick up, so it might be sooner. On the other hand, optimistic predictions have not held up so far.

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About hmarcuse

I've been an environmentalist since my college days in the 1970s (May 1977 Seabrook, New Hampshire occupation) , and am now a professor of German history at the University of California, Santa Barbara.
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One Response to Harold’s scheduling recalculation

  1. Harry Nelson says:

    Won’t there be pressure to do fast/sloppy work to meet the December deadline? How will fast/sloppy work be avoided?

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